Friday 30 August 2013

INDIAN STOCK MARKET – 31 AUGUST 2013

INDIAN FACE
INDIAN EQUITY BENCHMARK rose over 1% in a volatile session, marking its highest close in nearly two weeks as blue chip shares surged tracking a rebound in the rupee for a second day, ahead of April-June GDP data. Ebbing prospects of a U.S.-led military strike against Syria were also seen helping shares even as foreign investors sold over $1 billion worth of shares in the previous 10 sessions through Thursday.
Further, Software exporters gained to record highs on improving U.S. business prospects.
Tech Mahindra Ltd rose 0.7 percent after Morgan Stanley resumed coverage of its shares at “overweight” and a target price of 1,650 rupees, saying they remain undervalued.
GLOBAL FACE
Most Asian markets traded higher following a raft of regional economic data points.
European stocks were sharply, ahead of euro zone economic reports as fears over a potential military intervention in Syria by the U.S. and its allies weighed, sparking losses in commodity-linked stocks.
U.S. stock futures pointed to a higher open on Friday, as investors eyed the release of U.S. data later in the day, after positive U.S. economic reports indicated that the recovery is on track.
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STOCK MARKET TREND – 30 AUGUST 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper fell on Wednesday as the dollar rose and as nervousness over a potential U.S.-led military strike against Syria made investors more adverse to risk, while concerns over excessive copper supply in China also weighed.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude fell for a second day after U.K. lawmakers rejected a motion for military action against Syria, reducing the prospect of an imminent strike and easing concern that unrest will disrupt Middle East supplies.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold fell, trimming a fourth weekly gain, after better-than-expected U.S. economic data backed the case for the Federal Reserve to slow stimulus just as tensions over Syria eased, with U.K. lawmakers rejecting military action.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: FOMC Member Bullard Speaks, Core PCE Price Index m/m, Personal Spending m/m, Personal Income m/m, FOMC Member Bullard Speaks, Chicago PMI, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, Revised UoM Inflation Expectations.
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Wednesday 28 August 2013

STOCK MARKET TREND – 29 AUGUST 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper dropped for a third day on mounting tensions in Syria before a report that may show the U.S. economy grew more than previously estimated, adding to the case for the Federal Reserve to taper stimulus.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate oil fell from the highest settlement in more than two years, dropping for the first time in three days. U.S. crude stockpiles increased by 2.99 million barrels last week, a government report showed.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold retreated from a three-month high spurred by tensions over Syria as U.S. economic data may reinforce the case for the Federal Reserve to slow stimulus and a technical indicator showed that prices were set to decline.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: ANZ Business Confidence, Private Capital Expenditure q/q, Prelim GDP q/q, Unemployment Claims, Prelim GDP Price Index q/q, FOMC Member Bullard Speaks, Natural Gas Storage.
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Tuesday 27 August 2013

STOCK MARKET TREND – 28 AUGUST 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper advanced as China eased rules on overseas securities investments and after U.S. consumer confidence added to signs of improving demand in the biggest economy.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude surged to the highest price since May 2011 on concern that conflict in Syria may spread to other parts of the Middle East and threaten oil supplies.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traded near the highest level since May after a four-day rally as speculation that the U.S. may lead military strikes against Syria within days spurred investors’ demand for a haven. Silver and platinum advanced. Commodities advanced to the highest level in more than six months as escalating tension in Syria spurred a rally in oil on concern that supplies from the Middle East may be disrupted.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: BOE Gov Carney Speaks, Pending Home Sales m/m, Crude Oil Inventories.
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STOCK MARKET TREND – 27 AUGUST 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper fell for the first time in three days as a bigger-than-expected drop in U.S. durable-goods orders stoked concern demand in the world’s second-biggest user will slow and as tensions mounted in the Middle East.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate rose for the third time in four days after the U.S. said it will hold the Syrian government accountable for the use of chemical weapons, fanning concern that unrest may disrupt crude supplies.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold retreated from the highest level in more than two months amid signs of weaker physical demand in China, and after a technical indicator signaled that prices may be poised to decline. Silver and platinum fell.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: German Ifo Business Climate, S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y, CB Consumer Confidence, Richmond Manufacturing Index.
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Sunday 25 August 2013

STOCK MARKET TREND – 26 AUGUST 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper saw a bounce towards the weekend as signs of re-emerging appetite for the metal in top consumer China boosted the demand outlook and helped offset concerns over a tapering of monetary stimulus in the United States.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude rose for a third day as speculation the Federal Reserve will maintain economic stimulus boosted the demand outlook in the world’s biggest oil user. Brent’s premium to WTI narrowed.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold swung between gains and losses after climbing to the highest level since June as investors weighed the outlook for stimulus in the U.S., with a slump in new-home sales boosting the case for sustained debt-buying.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Trade Balance, Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m.
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Friday 23 August 2013

STOCK MARKET TREND – 23 AUGUST 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures in New York rose for the second time in three days after manufacturing unexpectedly expanded in China, the world’s largest consumer of the metal.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude was little changed in New York after climbing the most in almost two weeks as signs of an improving U.S. jobs market bolstered the economic outlook in the world’s biggest oil user.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold traders are the most bearish in nine weeks after Federal Reserve policy makers backed plans to taper stimulus if the economy strengthens, eclipsing a surge in demand for physical metal that drove prices to a two-month high.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Second Estimate GDP q/q, Core CPI m/m, New Home Sales, Jackson Hole Symposium.
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Wednesday 21 August 2013

Stock Market trend – 22 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper led gains in industrial metals after a manufacturing index in China increased in August from an 11-month low, adding to signs the world’s second-biggest economy is stabilizing.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the lowest level in almost two weeks as signs that the U.S. will taper economic stimulus this year raised speculation oil demand may falter in the world’s biggest consumer.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold pared losses as investors weighed the minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s last meeting, which reinforced expectations that stimulus will be tapered, against an unexpected increase in China’s manufacturing.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: HSBC Flash Manufacturing  PMI, French Flash Manufacturing PMI, German Flash Manufacturing PMI, Core Retail Sales m/m, Unemployment Claims, Flash Manufacturing PMI, HPI m/m, CB Leading Index m/m, Natural Gas Storage, Jackson Hole Symposium.

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Tuesday 20 August 2013

Stock Market Trend – 21 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper and zinc declined ahead of minutes of the Federal Reserve’s last meeting that may provide clues on the pace of stimulus and trade data from China, the biggest user of industrial metals.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude swung between gains and losses after declining the most in two months yesterday amid speculation the Federal Reserve will taper economic stimulus. Industry data showed U.S. supplies fell.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold fluctuated between gains and losses before the U.S. Federal Reserve releases minutes from its last meeting, which may provide clues on whether the pace of stimulus will be slowed amid signs of increased bullion demand.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Existing Home Sales, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Meeting Minutes.

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Stock Market Trend – 20 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper futures posted the biggest drop in almost three weeks as concern that the Federal Reserve will scale back U.S. monetary stimulus clouded prospects for metal demand.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate oil was little changed after declining yesterday for the first time in seven days. Government data tomorrow is forecast to show U.S. crude stockpiles fell to the lowest level since September.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold fluctuated between gains and losses after dropping from a two-month high as investors weighed the prospect of reduced stimulus in the U.S. against increased demand for an alternative investment.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, RBNZ Gov Wheeler Speaks, German PPI m/m, Wholesale Sales m/m.

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Sunday 18 August 2013

Stock Market Trend – 19 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper hit a 10-week high heading for a third week of gains, on expectations that a global economic recovery would increase demand for industrial metals.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate oil swung between gains and losses after rising to the highest price in two weeks. New York crude’s discount to London-traded Brent futures widened.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold rose to a two-month high after holdings in the largest exchange-traded product posted the first weekly expansion this year. Silver headed for the longest rally since March 2008.
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Thursday 15 August 2013

Stock Market Trend – 16 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper was set to gain for a third week after an unexpected drop in U.S. jobless claims and expanded manufacturing data signaled the world’s biggest economy continues to mend.

ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the highest price in two weeks as an escalating conflict in Egypt fanned concern that oil shipments through the country may be disrupted.

PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold gained to a two-month high, heading for the best week in five, as lower equities and signs of rising physical purchases spurred demand. Silver was set for the best week since October 2011.

GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Manufacturing Sales m/m, Building Permits, Housing Starts, Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q, Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations.

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Tuesday 13 August 2013

Stock Market Trend – 14 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper swung between gains and losses as investors weighed the outlook of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s stimulus policy against recent signs of recovery in economies from the U.S. to China.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate snapped a three-day rising streak after an industry report showed fuel stockpiles increased in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer. Brent fell from the highest close since April.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: The third increase in import taxes on gold this year by India, the world’s biggest user, is set to boost smuggling ahead of the festival and wedding seasons as official imports halt on central bank curbs, a trade group said.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Retail Sales q/q, German Prelim GDP q/q, Claimant Count Change, MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes, MPC Official Bank Rate Votes, Flash GDP q/q, PPI m/m, Core PPI m/m, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Member Bullard Speaks.
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Stock Market Trend – 13 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper Slipped while aluminium extended gains on Monday as signs of a pickup in top metals consumer China and expectations of encouraging euro zone data came up against a rise in the dollar.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude traded near the highest price in five days amid speculation that U.S. stockpiles fell for the sixth time in seven weeks as summer driving buoyed demand.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold snapped a four-day advance as a rally to the highest level in almost three weeks damped demand and prompted some investors to sell. Silver declined.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: CPI y/y, German ZEW Economic Sentiment, NFIB Small Business Index, Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Import Prices m/m, Business Inventories m/m.
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Monday 12 August 2013

Stock Market Trend – 12 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper fell after the best weekly gain in almost 11 months as Japan’s economy grew less than expected. Aluminum, zinc and lead declined.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude swung between gains and losses after after the biggest rally in more than a week. Brent oil in London fell for the sixth time in seven days.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold climbed to the highest level this month after holdings in the biggest bullion-backed exchange-traded product expanded for the first time since June. Platinum advanced for a fourth day to a two-month high.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Prelim GDP q/q, Federal Budget Balance.
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Thursday 8 August 2013

Commodity Weekly Report – 09 August 2013

GOLD
Gold continued to ease after the markets passed this week’s central bank meetings. With global inflation under control and major central banks standing pat there was no support for the yellow metal. Gold fell for a fifth session today, heading for its biggest weekly loss in a month as strong U.S. data raised fears of an early end to the Federal Reserve’s stimulus measures. U.S. factory activity jumped to a two-year high in July and first-time applications for jobless benefits hit a 5-1/2-year low last week, supporting views that the Fed could start tapering its $85 billion monthly stimulus later this year.
SILVER
Silver rose 146 points today to trade at 19.770 as traders took advantage of the low price and lower dollar to grab up the shiny metal. Silver diverged from gold which fell over $10 to trade near $1300. Metals capped the biggest two-day rally since early May after the Federal Reserve maintained bond purchases and manufacturing unexpectedly expanded in China, the world’s largest user of the metal. U.S. data have taken on heightened significance as investors prepare for any indication that the Federal Reserve will start winding down its $85-billion-a-month bond buying program.
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Wednesday 7 August 2013

Stock Market Trend – 08 August 2013

BASE METAL WRAP: Copper climbed to the highest level in seven weeks after trade data in China, the biggest user, exceeded analyst estimates. Aluminum, nickel, zinc and lead rose.
ENERGY WRAP: West Texas Intermediate crude rose for the first time in five days as exports and imports climbed last month in China, the world’s second-biggest oil consumer.
PRECIOUS METAL WRAP: Gold advanced before a report today that may show U.S. jobless claims increased, potentially delaying moves by the Federal Reserve to slow the pace of bond purchases. Silver and platinum climbed.
GLOBAL EVENTS TO WATCH: Consumer Credit m/m, Current Account, Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Monetary Policy Statement, Trade Balance, BOJ Press Conference, Unemployment Claims, Natural Gas Storage, 30-y Bond Auction.
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